STAGE RADAR
Weinstein stage-cycle screening over the NIFTY 750
Stage 1 → 2 Transition3× each trading day
Stocks leaving a long accumulation base as the 30-week MA rolls from falling
→ flat → up. Buys the turn, not the trend. Sector health, dual-box P&F, base-position meter.
▲ EMERGING — what to buy
Stage 3 → 4 Breakdown3× each trading day
The mirror. Stocks that have finished advancing, distributed inside a top, and are
now losing a rolling-over 30-week MA. Names you hold are the first thing to check here.
▼ DETERIORATING — what to exit / never buy
Methodologyreference
Exactly what each screen does: gates, the 100-point scores, states, the two stops,
dual-box P&F, sector mapping, regime rule, alerts — and the backtest with its honesty box.
☰ HOW IT WORKS
Two screens, deliberately different philosophies. The Stage 1→2 screen weights RS at only 10 and scores it
as improving, because a stock emerging from a long base has by definition been underperforming;
demanding strong RS there would reject every genuine candidate. The Stage 3→4 screen weights RS at
15, because collapsing RS is confirming evidence when something is breaking.
Stage 3→4 is not a short list.
It exists to warn on names you hold and to veto pretty daily bases inside broken weekly charts.